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Pattern Watch
Theme: Earnings Whispers (pre‑announcement drift)
Why it matters: Expectations move price first. When whisper numbers hint at a beat, you’ll often see call‑buying clusters and increasing volume days before the release.
Checklist (fast):
Unusual options activity in front‑month calls (OI + volume > 2–3× baseline).
Two higher closes on rising volume while IV creeps up.
Analyst chatter or “sources say” notes without official confirmation.
Simple plan (educational example): scale in small, set a time‑based exit (latest by the print), and pre‑define a -3% to -5% risk cap. Sell into strength; don’t marry the position.
Trade of the Week (Demo)
Educational only. Not financial advice.
Setup: Pre‑event hype → “sell the news” unwind
Catalyst: Product reveal or event (e.g., device launch keynote)
Trigger to enter: 3 up‑days with rising volume + social chatter spike; price near recent swing high.
Risk: Tight stop under prior day’s low; size small.
Exit plan: Scale out into spike or on confirmation headline.
Trade:
Ticker:
Entry zone:
Invalidation (stop):
Target / scale‑out:
Rumor source (Twitter/Reddit/news desk):
Notes after exit (lesson learned):
Quick Insight
Remove uncertainty → remove juice. Once news confirms, early movers lock in gains. That’s why “good news” can drop a stock: the uncertainty premium just got priced out. Trade the expectation, not the headline.
One Ask (so I can tailor issues)
Hit reply and tell me: what rumor are you watching right now? I read every response.
— Terrence
Founder, Market Rumors Daily
P.S. This newsletter is for education only — not investment advice. Trading involves risk. Manage size, use stops, and never risk money you can’t afford to lose.